KurtVonnegut

1. Trump is ahead in the betting market odds, and electoral college is in Republicans' favor

2. Trump seems like he really does not want to be president, and his first term took a huge toll on his physical and mental health.

I mean, people might not remember this, but Trump almost died right before the 2020 election. He got Covid and was air-lifted to a hospital. I don't think this 80+ year old man's body and mind is going to hold up for a second term, given how unhealthy his diet and exercise has been most of his life, and given how his metal health seems to be rapidly deteriorating.

We are getting President J. D. Vance in the next few years, in all likelihood.

"Many of us like to ask ourselves, 'What would I do if I was alive during slavery? Or the Jim Crow South? Or apartheid? What would I do if my country was committing genocide?' The answer is, you're doing it. Right now."

they expect a war with China, sooner (5~ years max) than later, because the longer the wait the further China and the rest of humanity develops (ie. the harder it will be to slaughter and enslave the entire planet and destroy China and the BRICS nations again

See, this is my main point of disagreement. In my experience, the majority of American leaders truly do believe their own bullshit. A lot of the ghouls in power in America really think "China will collapse any day now because Communism no food, Communism no house, Communism no money!" The reasons the US military says they need to go to war with China in 5 years is not, in my opinion, because they think it's necessary, but because they think it's a great marketing slogan. "WWIII is coming in 5 years, we need to increase military spending now!" It's all about money. And if war with China actually does break out, the USA economy will instantly collapse due to supply shocks. There definitely are a few neo-cons who do want to go to war with China, but personally I would estimate those hawks are outnumbered by fake-hawks by about 3-to-1.

In terms of the presidential candidates, Trump actually kind of likes Xi, Waltz has said China doesn't have to be our enemy, and Vance is so fully bought by Silicon Valley that his billionaire owners would never let him start WWIII. I think Kamala is basically bought out by similar corporate interests to Vance - if Kamala goes to war with China she does not get any more donations from Apple (whose phones are made in China) etc. So that's a big reason why I think the pro-China-war faction will not get what they want. They'll ask the president to send 1,000 drones to Pyongyang to take out and the president and his or her neoliberal advisers will just look at them like

It is mostly for emergencies. Although in the USSR doctors did way more "house calls" than in western nations, due to the lack of available hospital beds.

Let's go through the options for a China-USA proxy war:

-Indian-Chinese border: geographically impossible, politically way too dangerous

-Xinjiang region: tried it already lol, local Muslim population cannot be swayed to USA's side

-Taiwan: this is the one the military-industrial complex really wants, it would be very cool for everyone operating killer drones (less cool for the hundreds of thousands of innocent people who would die). Pros: lots of $$$ for contractors. Cons: crosses a big red line vs. China. Not happening.

-Korea: this is the most likely place for something to pop off, instigated by the USA. South Korea is completely corrupt and tied to the USA, North Korea is very closely tied to China. US military is 100% willing to "fight to the last South Korean," like in Ukraine. Pros: Attacking China without directly attacking China. Cons: calling the North Korean nuclear bluff, possibility that millions in South Korea are vaporized or inflicted with nuclear induced burns and cancers. Really depends if state department thinks North Korea is a paper target or not. Attacking a nuclear power is insane, but there's not that many places left for the USA to go... IMHO a 1% chance of something popping off there in the next 10 years, higher than Taiwan (0% chance).

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Greek Chorus

Greek Cackling

said Holden Caulfield.

Chapo.Chat

Lázaro Cárdenas del Río was based. Stood up to the capitalists and the United States. After he declined a second term as president he became Mexico's Secretary of War and led the effort to declare war against the Nazis and Imperial Japan. Mexico then sent a squadron of fighter pilots called the "Aztec Eagles" to liberate The Philippines from Imperial Japan, and in 2004 The Philippines awarded the surviving veterans with the Philippine Legion of Honor.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/201st_Fighter_Squadron