indeed
I'm cautiously optimistic here, but you're right things can turn ugly very easily.
Good news is that relations between India and the US are in the gutter right now, also likely why de-escalation is happening in the first place. If India isn't going to bend the knee then they need BRICS which means making nice with China. I suspect economic pragmatism will win in the end.
but muh Ruzzian interference!
I can't see any scenario where the border issue could result in a hot war. The whole thing is basically symbolic because the territory itself has little practical value to either side.
in fact, we can see that China is leading the transition off fossil fuels while growing its industry
This might be a rare case where blockhain actually makes sense. You want a public ledger that's not owned by any single entity, and that's basically what blockchain is.
Exactly, people running the industry want to make as much profit as possible which translates into producing as little as possible at the higher cost possible.
Given the levels of deindustrialization and the fact that the US is struggling to supply basic things like artillery shells for Ukraine, I think they legitimately are having production issues. It's one of those cases where two things can be true independently of each other. The MIC wants more money, and it's also extremely inefficient.
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I can't see how it can go past next year, but realistically it could end this year as well. Now that the collapse of the army started, the pace of events is going to accelerate dramatically. There's going to be an inflection point where there just aren't enough experienced and motivated people to hold things together, and we might be on the cusp of it already. The AFU isn't able to hold positions, they have mass desertion, and everybody knows the war is lost at this point.