heggs_bayer

joined 2 months ago
 

People I know are sharing polymarket predictions about the presidential election, and just reading about how the predictions work sounds like the most capitalism-brained nonsense. Like, try reading this without shaking your head:

On Polymarket, you can buy and sell shares representing future event outcomes (i.e. "Will TikTok be banned in the U.S. this year?")

Shares in event outcomes are always priced between $0.00 and $1.00 USDC, and every pair of event outcomes (i.e. each pair of "YES" + "NO" shares) is fully collateralized by $1.00 USDC.

Shares are created when opposing sides come to an agreement on odds, such that the sum of what each side is willing to pay is equal to $1.00.

The shares representing the correct, final outcome are paid out $1.00 USDC each upon market resolution.

Unlike sportsbooks, you are not betting against "the house" – the counterparty to each trade is another Polymarket user. As such:

Shares can be sold before the event outcome is known_ (i.e. to lock in profits or cut losses)

There is no "house" to ban you for winning too much.

Thing is, I'm 3 stupid 5 explaining why this stuff sounds off. Am I just doing a liberalism by speaking without investigating more? Is this as BS as it comes off as to me?

[–] heggs_bayer@hexbear.net 10 points 2 days ago

Mango Mussolini is always right.

[–] heggs_bayer@hexbear.net 39 points 4 days ago

It's been awhile since I've read Combat Liberalism, but I thought the context of that was for disputes between people in the same party or organization. If it's someone who's a friend but otherwise isn't struggling alongside you to build communism, I'm not sure what the point of being super insistent on ideological correctness would be.

[–] heggs_bayer@hexbear.net 12 points 5 days ago (1 children)
[–] heggs_bayer@hexbear.net 11 points 5 days ago

Wanting the lesser of two evils on one issue to win is not the same as co-signing an entire party’s agenda.

Meanwhile, in the screenshot: "Yes my life is more important than Palestinians... FUCK THEM!!!" Truly the words of someone who doesn't support their party's genocidal agenda.

I genuinely don’t understand how participation in democracy became conditional on 100% agreement on every issue. If you want a party to agree with you 100%, start a local party and run for local office in a non-presidential election.

Motherfucker: the dems are in 0% alignment with my stances on any issue. Whatever think tank lanyard wearer cooked up this weaksauce talking point needs to be fired.

Voting is supposed to be a civic duty, not a popularity vote and certainly not a purity test. Pull the lever and let the train hit one person instead of fucking everyone and everything. It’s not an intellectual exercise right now.

You're pulling out all the lib cliches today, aren't you? "Fucking everyone and everything" is going to be hit by that train just as surely if you pull the lever for the demonrats. Everyone who isn't a demonrat shill knows this.

What is President Trump II / President Vance going to do about climate change? Women’s health? Concentration camps for immigrants? Future elections? Just please be reasonable and realistic.

The adults in the room know that K-dolf Hitler won't be any better on any of those issues than Drumpf the felon.

[–] heggs_bayer@hexbear.net 18 points 5 days ago

He is the platonic idea of freeze-gamer

[–] heggs_bayer@hexbear.net 25 points 5 days ago

Most likely both.

[–] heggs_bayer@hexbear.net 72 points 1 week ago (3 children)

Liberals will defend this but call the soviets nazis for signing the Molotov-Ribbontrop Pact.

[–] heggs_bayer@hexbear.net 9 points 1 week ago

I like how he passingly mentions the train going through the building as if it's something not at all remarkable.

[–] heggs_bayer@hexbear.net 8 points 1 week ago

Does that building normally look like that, or is it another case of the BBC dystopia camera filter?

[–] heggs_bayer@hexbear.net 37 points 1 week ago
 

I've basically lost all desire to socialize with people and improve myself. I've been seeing a therapist and taking various different psych meds for years and have basically made no improvement. All I want to do anymore is eat way too much junk food (I feel like my friends and family would judge me very hard if I went back to toking and drinking like I did before rehab), play video games, and lie down doomscrolling chapo.chat.

The worst part is I know I have a lot going for me in life and I have a negative number of excuses to be this way: I'm in a cushy overpaid computer toucher job with a promotion on the near horizon, I'm doing well in my education, I haven't had anything really bad happen to me in years, and even the things that have gone bad for me are incredibly mild at most - first world problems. Even when I do the occasional good thing like walking or not eating like complete garbage for a day, I'm incapable of actually feeling any sense of accomplishment.

Whenever I talk to any of my mental healthcare providers about it, their advice basically boils down to "let yourself feel good about good things". There's also the more actionable advice, like use a sun lamp to make up for lack of sunlight and make some time to write my thoughts down every day, but I suck about following through on them. Trying to make myself feel good beyond split-second dopamine hits from base activities like stuffing my hamplanet pie hole with empty calorie laden garbage feels like trying to draw blood from a stone.

Often times I find myself thinking that maybe people like OrganizeOrDie are right. Depression is no excuse to stay out of organizing (something I'm also shirking my responsibility to do, largely because I'm at an intersection of privilege where I benefit from capitalism and imperialism far more than I am harmed by it), let alone doing the barest minimum to keep myself healthy, all of which will at least increase my chances of not feeling like an soulless automoton all the time. I know that humans are social beings and that community is essential to being human, but my temperment makes it so I don't actually feel good from socializing - not even in a social anxiety or lack of social skills kind of way - so I stay in my room and continue to rot. I feel like I'm part of the problem and not part of the solution and that if I'm incapable of actually becoming better then I may as well just self-destruct in silence.

I've been depressed basically since I was a child - over 20 years at this point - and it's so ingrained in who I am that I don't know how to get rid of it, or if I even want to. People who want things work to make them a reality after all.

I'm not sure what I want or expect from this vent-post. I just hate that I am the way I am and have no will to change.

 

Mine is when a lib says that a socialist leader is filthy rich because le ebil dictator owns literally everything in the country.

 

In 8^th^ grade my social studies teacher showed The Notebook to the class to help teach us about WWII. The movie had less than 5 minutes of content about the war; the rest was only tangentially related at best because it was set in that time period.

 

Granted, its to prevent overcentralization of Lemmy and not related to their shit takes, but still sicko-laser

 

... then why was it called MakhnovshCHINA? PRC-emblem some-controversy anarxi deng-stoned chairman

 

Easily one of my favorite bits up there with confederate Stalin.

 

So fanum tax.

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