this post was submitted on 14 Oct 2024
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So I've heard and seen the newest launch, and I thought for a private firm it seemed cool they were able to do it on their own, but I'm scratching my head that people are gushing about this as some hail mary.

I get the engineering required is staggering when it comes to these rocket tests, but NASA and other big space agencies have already done rocket tests and exploring bits of the moon which still astounds me to this day.

Is it because it's not a multi billion government institution? When I tell colleagues about NASA doing stuff like this yeaaaars ago they're like "Yea yea but this is different it's crazy bro"

Can anyone help me understand? Any SpaceX or Tesla fans here?

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[–] BastingChemina@slrpnk.net 18 points 6 days ago (2 children)

Imagine you want to build a cabin in a very remote place in Alaska.

Getting there is quite difficult, you did it a few times in the 60's but the path is so bad that you had to throw the truck away each time (around $45,000 per trip, for the truck + gas)

You are still planning to build your cabin but having to buy a new truck for each trip is not great, plus the fact that only one company can make this SLS truck so you can't get more than once a year.

Building a cabin in these circumstances is close to impossible.

Now SpaceX makes a new Starship truck that can go all the way AND be reused. The trip from the hardware store to the build site now only costs you around $100 for the gas plus truck expenses AND you can now do the trip to the hardware store multiple times a day !

Now building the cabin becomes way more accessible.

Replace the Alaskan cabin with a scientific base on the moon or Mars and multiply the amounts by 100,000 and you have an approximation of the situation

[–] farngis_mcgiles@sh.itjust.works 12 points 6 days ago (2 children)

NASA could have done this if they had the budget. Instead we'd rather give huge tax cuts to billionaires so they can build a private sector NASA to charge NASA exorbitant sums to use their private vehicles. It's the most asinine and innefficient way of going about it.

[–] BastingChemina@slrpnk.net 15 points 6 days ago (2 children)

No, NASA has the budget. They already spent $50 billion on the development of SLS and Orion, Starship development cost is estimated to be around $10 billion.

So in theory with the money they spent on SLS they could have built 5 starship program.

The problem is that NASA has to follow political interests, sometimes the political interests align with technical interest and we get great things like the Apollo program.

[–] Someonelol@lemmy.dbzer0.com 8 points 6 days ago (1 children)

They also have a very tight tolerance of failure. Every failure made in the engineering process brings more and more scrutiny by those holding the purse strings in Washington.

[–] DacoTaco@lemmy.world 3 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago) (1 children)

Specially this. How space x handles failures is a very hard nono in my book. "But we test in the field" is what space x says, and as a software developer its like saying "we test in production".
Yes youll get something use able faster, but its way way more costly in the long run and is nasty in between.
My arse they cant test this stuff on earth. We have simulations, models, calculations, test, everything. Yes, things can and will sometimes still fail when going in production ( in flight ) but you want to lower the risk of it failing cause its costly as fuck.

They dont seem to care though.

Also, im not saying what they are building towards is bad, it really really isnt, but their methods is... Bad

[–] DrownedRats@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago (1 children)

Iterative development like that isn't uncommon in engineering as a whole. Simulation can get you a long way but there's a hard limit to that. You don't think spacex designed a starship to use without running extensive simulations to try and figure it out before hand right?

Sometimes you need to test in the field just to find out what bits you missed. Structural engineers will simulate and calculate extensively but they'll still build scale models and test pieces because it's the most reliable and effective way to ensure you're covering as many bases as possible.

Its not an either/or situation here. They're doing the testing and simulation and applying it IRL to find out where things break.

[–] DacoTaco@lemmy.world 1 points 3 days ago

As a software developer i know what iterative development means, its in our blood and brains ( or at least it should be ). Simulations can indeed only get you so far, and i agree sometimes you have to make things and take a plunge. However, and i would like to be really wrong here so correct me if im wrong, but other companies like nasa, do not just shoot shit up in space and hope for the best. They arent allowed to do so for a reason. They test and calculate everything very rigoursly to make sure itll hold up as expected. From thruster power, resistance to continues extreme heat from reentry, ...
All of that they do here, on earth, before shooting anything up into space. Otherwise things like the rover on mars would have needed like 20 tries instead of 2.

These are things that looks like spacex is just throwing out the window.
To take it back to software development, they are doing an iterative development ( which is very good for what they are doing! ) but their testing before production/release of software is so basic theyll just see how it responds out there. Thats a huge nono to me if youre going to end up crashing all those rockets in the sea killing a shit ton of nature in the process. Sometimes the means dont justify the costs to me, and this is one of them. Yes, the booster catching was nice to see ( eventhough it nearly ended badly ) and its idea is very good and needed, but the way to get there is...messy.

That's a good point.

[–] Knock_Knock_Lemmy_In@lemmy.world 1 points 6 days ago (1 children)

Space X has less bureaucracy and can pursue other commercial ventures. The amount nasa pays is high, but it's still cheaper than continuing their old program

[–] AA5B@lemmy.world 7 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

Plus NASA can’t afford the risk. If SpaceX failed, no big deal. We would have lost some money and everyone would ridicule Musk. If NASA tried it and failed, they would not only have lost five times the money, but would be parylized by investigations, audits, cutbacks. NASA does a LOT more than just rockets and it would all be at risk

Plus notice NASA has been investing in multiple commercial programs where possible. 3 big rocket programs. Two crew capsules and multiple cargo capsules. Multiple space stations, etc. NASA could not have created this redundancy on their own

[–] mojofrododojo@lemmy.world 1 points 4 days ago

Now SpaceX makes a new Starship truck that can go all the way AND be reused.

Not much of a spacex fan, but the fact that they were able to prove reusability on the falcon 9 and starship when the main players - ULA, Boeing, fuck, everyone said it was decades away IF EVER gets my attention. it illustrates how there are blind spots in all industries where people have to be shown what is possible because they'll never believe it and that dogma can stifle innovation for ages when left unchallenged.

[–] AA5B@lemmy.world 4 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

A lot of people pointed out a lot of firsts, huge cost reductions, regular flights, but let’s look from the opposite direction …..

Mass to orbit. SpaceX came from nowhere not too many years ago, jumped ahead of established manufacturers, until now they launch most of the worlds satellite mass to orbit, with an unparalleled success record, even with the recent failures. And this is with a rapidly growing space market

Everything they’ve achieved has not only let them scale up far surpassing the rest of the industry across the world, combined, but with reliability and cost to attract all that business

I don’t know what it would take for you to call it a revolution, but the impact on space business is revolutionary

[–] MehBlah@lemmy.world 1 points 6 days ago
[–] Zer0_F0x@lemmy.world 172 points 1 week ago (36 children)

Disclaimer: Fuck Elon Musk and all the shady shit he's been pulling off.

That said, this is one of the most impressive things I've ever seen in terms of the potential it holds to shape the future.

Up until 5 short years ago we had:

  • No main booster recovery
  • No rocket nearly as powerful as this one
  • No successful flight of a full-flow stage engine
  • Nobody even considering the catch with chopsticks thing
  • No private company testing super heavy lift vehicles (BO is about to enter the chat as well)
  • No push for reusability at all

This was all built on top of the incredible engineering of NASA, but this one launch today has all of the above ticked.

This is like making the first aeroplane that's able to land and be flown again. SpaceX uses this example as well, like, imagine how expensive any plane ticket would have to be if you had to build a brand new A380 every single time people wanted to fly and then crashing it into the sea.

Going to space is EXPENSIVE. If this program succeeds it will both massively reduce the cost to space and spin off hundreds of companies looking to do the same in various ways.

Look at any new rocket currently in development, they all include some level of reusability in the design and that's all thanks to the incredible engineers of SpaceX paving the way, first with Falcon 9 and now with Starship.

We're talking industrial revolution levels of progress and new frontiers in our lifetimes, which is very, very exciting.

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[–] lung@lemmy.world 121 points 1 week ago (3 children)

My guy they just caught an object falling from space using a pair of giant chopsticks

[–] halcyoncmdr@lemmy.world 71 points 1 week ago (1 children)

They caught a building, with a building holding chopsticks.

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[–] originalfrozenbanana@lemm.ee 89 points 1 week ago (8 children)

Because they are impressive in the way NASA was. Which is the problem - we should be doing this as a nation and not subsidizing whatever a billionaire fancies at the moment.

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[–] dinckelman@lemmy.world 82 points 1 week ago

I hate Elon just as much as the next guy, but pretending that this wasn’t a marvel of engineering is really disingenuous. People with intelligence beyond my comprehension made that a reality, and just because the company had his face on it, it doesn’t make it any less impressive

[–] I_Has_A_Hat@lemmy.world 74 points 1 week ago (13 children)

I've seen so many people grudgingly pretending what they saw wasn't one of the coolest fucking things they've seen all year all because they hate Musk. Like, you know he's not personally involved in the design or manufacture of these things right? By all accounts he's more of a hindrance and these amazing fears of engineering have been accomplished despite him, not because of him.

I personally don't really care how big of a douche Musk is, as long as he's willing to fund these kinds of things.

[–] Olgratin_Magmatoe@lemmy.world 1 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

Like, you know he’s not personally involved in the design or manufacture of these things right

Not everybody does. I've seen some threads, mostly on insta, where people were fallomg over themselves to get on their fucking knees to slob on Elon's nob. I get that the average insta user isn't the brightest, but people like that do exist.

And it leaves a bad taste in my mouth, because there is a chance that the hard work of the engineers, laborers, and Shotwell will be used for Elon's fame throughout history.

So yeah, fuck Elon. The tech is cool as fuck though.

[–] neveraskedforthis@lemmy.world -1 points 6 days ago

Like, you know he’s not personally involved in the design or manufacture of these things right?

Just don't look up who made the design changes to stainless steel, aerodynamic flaps or tower capture.

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[–] OsrsNeedsF2P@lemmy.ml 66 points 1 week ago (3 children)

If you ignore Musk for a moment, it is impressive. Maybe not every launch (I wasn't even aware of another one), but a company that's actually pushing for more space exploration. That's cool beans.

[–] FuglyDuck@lemmy.world 72 points 1 week ago (7 children)

even if you don't ignore musk...

They've achieved all that despite musk. musk is an idiot and a fool, and he's far from an engineer. Imagine what they could do if his coke-and-ketamine fueled dipshitery decided to take up a different hobby.

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[–] Tyfud@lemmy.world 66 points 1 week ago (14 children)

SpaceX is not run by Elon and he's kept from being involved closely by a buffer of people that keep him from getting too close to making any "elon" level changes.

SpaceX is successful despite Musk, not because of. And the woman who runs it knows that and keeps Musk away from any important decisions or impacts.

So the stuff they're doing is legit, cool aerospace stuff.

It's just not something Musk should take credit for. He does/will. But he shouldn't. He's a hack.

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[–] marsokod@lemmy.world 57 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago)

There are a few things that are different from what NASA has done in the past:

  1. SpaceX Rocket is the most powerful rocket ever, surpassing everything that NASA or anyone else has ever done.

  2. they are landing the rockets, with the aim of being able to recover them. If you skip the technicality that SpaceX first stage is suborbital but is part of an orbital launcher, that makes SpaceX the only entity who has achieved that, with some comparison to the Space Shuttle and Buran, though both were losing significant sections of the initial launcher, with very difficult repairs once on the ground.

  3. the cost of the launcher. In terms of capabilities, NASA's SLS is probably close to Starship. However, it costs around $2B/launch, and nothing is recoverable. Starship is meant for low cost. It is estimated that the current hardware + propellant for a single launch is under $100M. With reusability, a cost per launch under $10M is achievable in the mid term (10 years I would say) once the R&D has been paid ($1.4B/year at the moment, I would guess the whole development for Starship will be $10-20B, so same if not less than SLS).

  4. the aim for high speed reusability - SpaceX aim is to launch as much as possible, as fast as possible, with the same hardware. While it is a bit early to understand how successful they will be (Elon was saying a launch every 1hr, which seem to be very optimistic, I would bet 6-12hrs to be more achievable). That was NASA's original goal for the Space Shuttle, and they failed that.

  5. finally, orbital refueling means you have a single vehicle that can basically go anywhere in the inner solar system without much issues, and minimal cost.

Also, what gets people excited are the prospects of what this enables. A 10-100x decrease in the access to orbit changes completely the space economics and opens a lot of possibilities. This means going to the Moon is a lot simpler because now you don't need to reduce the mass of everything. This makes engineering way easier as you do not need to optimise everything to death, which tends to increase costs exponentially. And as for Mars, Starship is what makes having a meaningful colony there possible. Doing an Apollo like mission on Mars would have been possible for decades, but at a significant price for not much to show for. With cheap launch, you can just keep sending hardware there.

[–] mipadaitu@lemmy.world 50 points 1 week ago

NASA, nor anyone else, has done this before. I'm not sure what you're referring to when you say NASA did this already.

[–] BearOfaTime@lemm.ee 49 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (6 children)

Wait, when did NASA land a fully reusable rocket like fucking Buck Rogers?

Then do it again, but capture it with the freakin' launch tower?

When did NASA even have a reusable rocket? Oh, the shuttle, the bastardized money pit for NSA/NRO/Air Force, that appears to have been designed to orbit a surveillance satellite chassis, which most people know as Hubble (it's one of many, this one being used to surveil the universe, instead of the earth).

And the shuttle was a quasi-reusable orbiter, not a rocket.

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